Sunday, February 13, 2011

Nokia shitting on its pants followup

I think this is the first time I write two articles about the same subject in the spawn of one day, it's that I found the perfect opposing view to better illustrate my opinions:
written in defense of the move. My followup:

Scoble says that Windows 7 mobile does not have as many apps as Android, and that's why it apparently flopped. Complete agreement here. I went the Android route when it had about 18,000 apps and the iPhone had like 120,000 or seven times more applications than Android, and merely 15 months later the number of applications is roughly 130,000 versus 300,000, clearly both numbers are dizzying, but Android is growing much faster (look at these very exponentially trending graphs). For Windows mobile to ever be successful, it would have to populate its platform with many thousands of applications, and this requires to inspire legions of developers. I am a developer. Do I want to make Android applications? -- I am dying to, I am thinking about really doing it professionally and all. Do I want to make iPhone apps? yes, those too after Android. What about Windows 7, BlackBerry, or Symbian before the news? -- absolutely not; I am utterly fed up with bad APIs, I do not want to pollute my head with a single one more. (by thew way, there is no need to learn an API to know it's bad).

Scoble then goes on to explain that Nokia's very deep distribution network with it's supplier network is the game changer and Windows Mobile is better than Android. Well, bullshit. Nokia's networks might be better than Samsung, HTC, etc., but no way it is significantly better, and many of these also make Windows Mobile devices... I think that if the promiscuous integration of Nokia hardware with Windows mobile makes it significantly better than the other Windows Mobile, what will happen is that they will progressively withdraw and leave Nokiasoft alone.

Scoble also explains that it did not make sense for Nokia to compete in an Android level playing field because "Nokia can't compete with China's brightest minds", so, he sorts of admits Nokia's hardware to be inferior to what HTC and others can do...

So, there you have it: The virtual merger works for Nokia (which is extremely improbable) and then the Windows platform will be left alone of other hardware manufacturers; or it does not work for Nokia, and it gets killed.